Tuesday, June 10, 2008

The 2008 Tomato Scare

Supermarkets and fast-food restaurants in the U.S. have started throwing out their tomatoes in response to the recent salmonella outbreak. and the Florida tomato industry looks to be in 'complete collapse' as a result.

According to a report in the Wall Street Journal:

Since April, public-health authorities in the U.S. have reported 145 cases of a type of salmonella known as "Saintpaul." No deaths have been reported, but the illness has caused 23 hospitalizations, according to the Food and Drug Administration. The outbreak has been linked to certain kinds of uncooked tomatoes grown in certain regions of the country, but the source of the affected tomatoes hasn't yet been identified.

Was St. Paul the patron saint of salmonella? Not sure where that one comes from. But yesterday businesses such as Wal-Mart, Kroger's, Burger King, Chipotle and McDonald's, which all use or sell fresh tomatoes, announced they were pulling tomatoes off menus and store shelves.

At the same time a Reuters report explains that $40 million worth of Florida's tomato crop will rot while regulators trace the source of the problem. During these summer months, Florida produces 90% of the nation's tomato crop and is valued at $700 million annually.

Reggie Brown, executive vice president of the Florida Tomato Growers Exchange, announced his predicament:

We probably have $40 million worth of product we can't sell. We've had to stop packing, stop picking.

If some film studio decided to make a major motion picture about 'Tomato Scare '08", I bet there will be a dramatic scene in there where someone runs into the Tomato factory and screams at the top of their lungs, "Stop the picking and packing machines!" Then he'll probably slam on some bright red emergency stop button, which should be in the shape of a large cartoon tomato.

But it's not just the lost crop that growers are worried about. After the spinach E coli scare last year, it took a long time for greens and spinach to make a financial comeback. There was a lot of lost revenue as many Americans swore off the vegetable in fear of contracting the bacteria many months after the 'all clear' signal was given.

One woman is not taking the Tomato Scare of 08 very well:

Vegetarian Beth McCoy was disappointed that her veggie sandwich came without tomato. "You wait all winter for a good tomato," said the 35-year-old administrative coordinator for a nonprofit health-care association. "I'm worried about a summer without tomatoes."

Me too, Beth. Me too.

Reuters: Florida tomato industry in 'full collapse', June 10, 2008

Wall Street Journal: Grocers and Restaurants Toss Out Tomatoes, June 10, 2008

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Rice Riot Fears Hit the U.S.

Why are you wasting valuable time at home? You need to go out and get some rice before it's all gone!

Over the past few months, the rising cost of rice around the world has caused hoarding and riots to break out throughout Asia.

Come on, I can understand Montreal Canadiens's fans rioting in the streets after an unimpressive first-round NHL playoff win, but starving people wanting rice? Now, you're just pulling my leg.

It's true though, and in an ironic response to the very excesses they profit from, Sam's Club and Costco were the first to sound the alarm here on the home front. These discount warehouse stores are now limiting sales to 4 bags of rice per person per visit. Both stores have also seen increased demand for flour and oil, but as yet, have not imposed limits on those items.

In another ironic twist, this all comes the day after Earth Day. Many analysts claim that the newfound interest in 'going green' and being 'eco-friendly' has inadvertently caused the rice shortages. As global food trends change to accommodate the demand for more food being used as alternative fuels, less people will have the food to eat. Also, the major drought in Australia has added to rice shortage problems.

Similar to a stock sell-off or a bank-run, when people get worried something will run out, they go out and buy more than they need of it, causing even greater supply problem. According to an article from The Times Online things are particularly troubling in the Philippines:

Any farmer in the Philippines caught hoarding rice risks spending the rest of his life in jail for the crime of “economic sabotage”.

Scary stuff. But I don't think most Americans realize how important rice is in these countries. There are 3 billion people in the world who rely on solely rice as a staple food. In both Thailand and the Philippines there has been a 40% increase in the price of rice since January. That's kind of like increasing the cost of sunshine in Florida by 40%. Or the price of a subway fare in New York City by 40%. Or even worse, increasing the price of the pleasure derived from quiet conversation and rustic landscapes in Montana.

But seriously, has anyone noticed any grain hoarding or increased lines at Costco recently?

The Times Online: Fears of rice riots as demand as surge in demand hits nations across the Far East, April 8, 2008

Reuters: Sam's Club limiting sales of rice, April 23, 2008